Prior to 2005, buy-side firms invested in quality execution by
hiring experienced traders that were as adept and knowledgeable of trading as
their sell-side counterparts. Firms set up their trading desks in sectors to
mirror sell-side trading desks. Traders processed information on a daily basis
in their sectors and became experts based on their trading experience and the
research/trading flow they received both from brokers and internally from their
own in-house analysts and portfolio managers.
Buy-side traders in the pre-Reg NMS era were extensions of their
fund managers and were able to react effectively and opportunistically to
changing market conditions. They "traded" their orders based on
tactical perspectives and their personal experience by using multiple trading
strategies. They were measured on their ability to execute at the highest level
with the long-term goals of the funds traded taken into account.
From 2000-2005, some of the best trade execution costs in the
market leveraged "the street's" capital to trade aggressively based
on both the long- and short-term goals of the firm. The focus on volume
weighted average price (VWAP) was not as prominent because traders naturally
beat this measure by trading on instinct.
In 2005, Reg NMS changed all this by revamping the market
structure and promoting the rise of machine trading. Orders were now executed
mostly through electronic markets, and the human intervention for pricing
discovery of trade execution was de-emphasized. Algorithms that mirrored the
VWAP became the dominant strategy to execute orders, and buy-side traders were
using these algorithms to execute orders. Instead of traders trading order
flow, they became traders who managed order flow through the machines. Traders
no longer looked to be opportunistic and trade aggressively during times of
price displacement. Instead, they would go along and work orders over the day
through the machines and then would simply settle for their average price
execution - I call this "the dumbing down effect."
The Rise of the Machines
Today, almost all equity order flow goes through some type of
machine. The result is that the U.S market went from handful of exchanges with
onsite regulators that required balanced markets into 40-50 trading venues with
both "dark and light" markets that are crossed owned and that favor
high-frequency trading firms (HFTs) or "flash traders."
These new trading venues are co-owned by HFTs and sell-side
brokerage firms that both have large financial stakes in these new exchanges.
Technology now dominates the equity market for execution. HFTs
"co-locate" by placing large server farms right next to exchanges so
they can get faster data feeds with the sole goal of scalping the buy-side
order flow.
Mutual fund companies that represent the public through 401k,
pensions accounts and saving plans don't have co-location facilities and their
orders are preyed upon by HFTs, which represents 70% of all of the equity
trading volume being executed on exchanges.
So what are HFTs? In simple terms, they are computerized trading
programs. They make money basically in two ways. First, they offer bids and
offers in such a way that they make tiny amounts of money per share from
rebates provided by the multiple trading exchanges. Second, and more
importantly, they make tiny long/short profits on billions of shares per day by
front running institutional orders they detect in the market place.
Reg NMS was passed to create more liquidity and transparency to
the equity markets so that institutions could transact in a more efficient way.
Instead, it has had the opposite effect -- markets are now much more fragmented
and markets are less transparent. The U.S. equity market is now mostly a for
profit enterprise of dark pools, electronic communications networks and
alternative trading systems that are connected by low latency high-speed
technology. There is no actionable or visible liquidity on which institutions
can see or act. Now every order is hidden in an algorithm and sliced and diced
over the day.
Exchanges need to make up for the lost profits they used to
receive from new stock listings. The financial crisis and the dot com bust have
reduced new IPOs and listing fees by 50% since 2000. To compensate, exchanges
have started selling advanced market data that caters to HFTs at the expense of
the buy-side. HFTs can use that data plus other technology tools like
actionable indications of interest to pick off orders in algorithms and dark
pools.
As a result of the rise in machine trading, VWAP and time
weighted average price as a means of measuring trade execution, mutual funds
started looking for ways to cut costs. Mutual fund complexes and fund managers
started accepting VWAP as a way of execution, and the need for experienced
trading professionals who could add alpha by their trading expertise became
reduced.
When the financial crisis of 2008 hit, asset managers needed to
cut costs. They decided to start using less professional traders and swapped
experience trading professionals for order clerks or less experienced traders
who could just manage the trading flow into the machines. Instead of a better
understanding and an emphasizing of opportunity cost as a way of measuring
trades, mutual funds focused on cents per share trading and commission rebates
as a way of satisfying shareholders that they were sensitive to transaction
costs.
With trading commissions compressing and rebates eating into any
profit opportunity, the sell-side responded by investing more in technology and
less in capital facilitation as a way to execute trades. As a result, there was
more volatility and less quality liquidity in the equity markets. For example,
in the past, the sell-side would provide quality liquidity in mid- and
small-cap stocks by using their balance sheet to commit capital to facilitate
trades. Today, with the market fragmented, liquidity in those names is
nonexistent. As a result of asset managers not getting quality liquidity in
mid- and small-cap names, they have instead turned to investing in
exchange-traded funds and broader market indexes at the expense of single stock
names to get market exposure to this group.
Price Slippage
The sell-side has also decided to invest and better align itself
with the HFTs, which has created a conflict of interest for the buy-side. Now
when a buy-side order is entered in a brokerage electronic trading system, the
buy-side electronic algorithmic order is being routed to the cheapest venue and
not to the venue that provides the best liquidity and execution. These cheaper
venues contain HFT predators that can take advantage of robotic order flow
based on VWAP algorithms, resulting in "price slippage."
Price slippage, for example, occurs when a buy-side trader pays
$26.50 for an execution, which is $.02 better than VWAP, instead of paying
$26.40 for the same stock but lost by $.02 to VWAP because the machines forced
liquidity at higher prices, thus manipulating VWAP. Ironically, the buy-side
trader accepts this because he or she looks better under the VWAP way of
measuring trades.
WVAP can be manipulated by the HFTs once they identify the
algorithm. They use lighting fast technology to front run and profit against
the VWAP orders. Another way that HFTs profit against the buy-side is through
flash trading. The HFTs get proprietary or "flash orders" and use
this data to give them the edge to make huge profits, which is known as
"latency arbitrage." The latency being arbitraged is the speed of
data sent to computer terminals. This is why you see HFTs co-locating their
servers next to exchanges.
Both HFTs and brokerage firms are spending lots of money on
advanced technology and software upgrades to reduce latency. By using cutting
edge technology and co-location with exchanges, along with purchasing raw data
feeds - which are faster than the consolidated tape -- the HFTs are able to
create their own best bid and offer (NBBO) quotes ahead of what is available to
the public. This gives HFTs the advantage of knowing the market direction
microseconds ahead of the public -- information that is extremely valuable when
you're trading thousands of stocks thousands of times a day.
In a past release on market structure, the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) itself acknowledges the advantage:
"Some proprietary firm's strategies may exploit structural
vulnerabilities in the market or in certain market participants. For example,
by obtaining the fastest delivery of market data through co-location
arrangements and individual trading center data feeds, proprietary firms
theoretically could profit by identifying market participants who are offering
execution at stale prices."
What this means is that exchanges are providing HFTs with the
ability to out institutional orders. This in turn makes the exchanges complicit
in disadvantaging the asset managers, institutions and brokers that have a
fiduciary responsibility to their clients.
Buy-side traders must protect their firms' orders by adjusting
and changing their methods of trading to avoid HFTs. By constantly relying on
the same VWAP algorithms to execute trades, they are setting themselves up for
the HFTs' predatory activities through "price slippage" and front
running. HFTs profit every day because they're playing poker and can see
everyone else's hands.
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